13. What is the interpretation for annual probability and its relevance for determining wind load in


Applies To
Product(s):AutoPIPE,
Version(s):ALL
Environment: N/A
Area: Load
Original Author:Bentley Technical Support Group

Problem:

What is the importance of annual probability of exceeding for Wind Calculation (say 1/500)?...What is the interpretation for this value and its relevance for determining wind load?

Solution: 

The annual probability for exceedance of a 1/500 storm event is a 0.2% chance of getting or exceeding that storm event...this basically saying it's a 500 year storm which is only supposed to happen once every 500 years, but what it really means is there's a 1 in 500 chance, or 0.2%, of getting that storm event every year.  But then you get a situation as seen in southern United States a few years ago where you get three 100-year storms in less than five years.  AutoPIPE is not concerned with the frequency of  a 1 in 500 year storm, what needs to be determine is what's the minimum design requirements to be modeled?  


Are the Wind loads entered into the model based on a 1, 10, 50, 100, 500 and etc. event?  Refer to governing regulation, building code, or project documentation for wind loads to be applied in a model. Apply the respective wind loads as desired into the AutoPIPE model. 

See Also

Modeling "Wind" - Load Case

Bentley AutoPIPE